02 April 2024 – During the four-day Abundance Summit, Elon Musk spoke against the dangers of artificial intelligence (AI) during the “Great AI Debate” lecture.
He noted that while there is a small probability—roughly 10 to 20 percent—that AI may harm humans, the risk may still be worthwhile. He said, “I think there’s some chance that it will end humanity,” without going into details. Geoff Hinton and I both probably agree that it’s around 10 percent, 20 percent, or such.
I believe that the likelihood of a good outcome exceeds that of a bad one. During the meeting, Elon Musk also said that artificial intelligence (AI) would surpass human intelligence by 2030. Thus, caution is necessary about the negative effects of this technology. He compared creating a very intelligent artificial intelligence to parenting a bright child, saying that teaching AI to be truthful and inquisitive is crucial.
Conclusion
“AGIs grow on you. He said, “It’s almost like raising a kid, but one that’s like a super genius, like a God-like intelligence kid— and it matters how you raise the kid.”
